Never done this?
Start here.
Backd lets you call what you think will happen: a match, Bitcoin, the charts, the news. Here's the whole thing in plain words. It takes about four minutes.
What's a prediction market?
It's a question with a Yes and a No. People back the side they think is right, and the price moves as they do. That price tells you two things: how likely it is, and what you could win.
The % is the crowd's chance
58% means people reckon it happens about 58 times in 100. It moves every time someone backs a side, so it's always the latest view.
Read it in the format you know
58% is 1.72 in decimal, 8/11 fractional, −138 American. Pick the one you're used to in the footer and every price on Backd follows. The less likely it is, the more it pays, and the call panel shows the payout for your stake before you tap.
If you're wrong, that's all you lose
The most you can lose is the stake you put on. The call panel shows both lines before you tap: what you could win, and what you could lose.
One real market, right now.
This is a live market on Backd. The numbers below are today's.
Your money.
Your record.
Every call is a real position, bought at the live price with your own money and saved on your record.
Saved at the live price
We record the price on our server the moment you call it. You can't pick a better price after the fact, and neither can anyone else.
Scored the same for everyone
Your record shows how often you're right, what you've made or lost on your settled calls, and your XP. Wins and losses both stay on it.
A receipt for every call
When a market settles you get a receipt you can share: what you called, at what price, and how it went.
Backing it with real money, where it's allowed.
Backd never holds your money. Your balance sits in a Polymarket deposit wallet only you control, and every backed call is an order on Polymarket at the live price. Polymarket collects Backd's 1% fee.
Fun first. Always.
Backing markets is real money. Here's how to keep it fun.
Adults only
You need to be 18 or over to use Backd. You confirm it when you sign up.
Set your own limits
Only ever put in what you can afford to lose, and take breaks.
If it stops being fun
Step away. Free, confidential support is available from BeGambleAware and GamCare.
The things people ask.
What does it cost?
Backing a call costs 1% of the stake, collected by Polymarket when the order fills and shown before you confirm. Cashing out early costs the same on what you get back. There are no deposit, withdrawal or subscription charges from Backd.
Do I need to know anything about crypto?
Not much. You need a wallet app (such as MetaMask or Phantom) to hold your money, and set-up walks you through it. After that everything is in plain money and percentages.
What's the most I can lose?
The stake on each call, never more. A wrong call loses what you put on it; a right one pays the shares out at $1 each.
Who decides if I was right?
Every market settles on the rule written on the market, using the official result. Polymarket settles it and we update your record when it does.
Can I change my mind?
You can cash out early at the live price, and the call stays on your record as cashed out. A call can't be deleted once it's made. That's what makes records honest. You can always make a new call on the other side.
Why can't I back calls where I am?
Backing isn't available everywhere: it depends on where Polymarket and local rules allow it. The call panel tells you before you put anything in. You can still follow people, watch the markets and run a crew.
Got it?
Make your first call.
Your money, in your own wallet. Your record starts with your first call.
Better with your people.
Bookies make you bet alone. Backd is built around seeing what your friends and the best callers think.
Follow people
Follow friends and callers with good records. Their calls show up in your Friends feed, next to the markets they're on.
Back or fade
Back puts you on the same side at today's price. Fade puts you on the other side. Either way it's your call on your record.
Crews
A crew is your group: a private chat, a shared table, and bragging rights. Share an invite link to bring your mates in.
Swipe
Today's ten hottest markets, one at a time. Right for Yes, left for No, up to skip, and your picks build a combo that shows what it would pay at today's prices. Backing combos with money is coming soon.
Leaderboards
Ranked on settled calls only. Real profit and loss on every settled call. Nobody can delete a bad week.
Who sees your picks
You choose: everyone, friends only, or just you. Change it any time in settings.