Tech· 8 outcomes

Gemini 4.0 released by...?

$630K tradedClosing · 1 Jul

0%chance for June 30no change today

75%25%

50%−13 this period

63% to 50%

30 AUGNOW

OUTCOME · TAP TO PICK

CHANCE · $10 WINS

November 30+5 today93%$10.81 October 31+1 today80%$12.58 October 15−10 today44%$22.73 September 30+9 today9%$106.38 July 310%–August 310%–September 15−1 today0%–June 300%–

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How it settles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 4.0 Flash model is made available to the general public by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 4.0 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public. Gemini 4.0 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 4.0 or one that is recognized as a successor to… Read all

Gemini 3 similar to the progression from Gemini 2.0 to Gemini 3. Products labeled as Gemini 3.0 Flash, Gemini 2.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Closes 1 JulYour record updates as soon as it settles.

Gemini 4.0 released by...?

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How it settles

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