Politics· 19 outcomes

Brazil Presidential Election

$157.1M tradedCloses in 5d 8h · 5 Oct

This one is all but decided (one side is at 98% or more), so it's waiting for the official result. You can still call a side that isn't too close to settled.

<1%chance for Fernando Haddadno change today

75%50%25%

<1%−39 this period

40% to <1%

19 SEPTNOW5 OCT

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CHANCE · $10 WINS

Flávio Bolsonaro+2 today60%$16.74 Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva−1 today41%$24.69 Renan Santos<1%$1,818.18 Geraldo Alckmin<1%–Tarcisio de Freitas<1%–Jair Bolsonaro<1%–Fernando Haddad<1%–Michelle Bolsonaro<1%–Eduardo Bolsonaro<1%–Ratinho Júnior<1%–

Show all 19 outcomes

Ronaldo Caiado<1%–Romeu Zema<1%–Camilo Santana<1%–Eduardo Leite<1%–Aldo Rebelo<1%–Tereza Cristina<1%–Helder Barbalho<1%–Pablo Marçal<1%–Augusto Cury<1%–

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No calls yetMake the first call on this market and it goes on your record at <1%.

How it settles

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Closes 5 OctYour record updates as soon as it settles.

Brazil Presidential Election

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How it settles

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