Geopolitics$736.5MRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028J.D. Vance+212Marco Rubio+457Ron DeSantis+543Closes Nov 2028−2 today
Geopolitics$741MPresidential Election Winner 2028Jon Ossoff+476JD Vance+672Marco Rubio+958Closes Nov 2028
Geopolitics$174.2MNext French Presidential ElectionMarine Le Pen+117David Lisnard+478Jean-Luc Mélenchon+641Closes Apr 2027
Geopolitics$1.3BDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028Jon Ossoff+282Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+587Gavin Newsom+936Closes Nov 2028
Geopolitics$874KElon Musk # tweets November 10 - November 17, 2026?200-219+504220-239+506180-199+594Closes in 3d 23h+1 today
Geopolitics$1.3MUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)December 31−471November 30−163November 22+111Closes in 48d 2h+2 today
Geopolitics$319KElon Musk # tweets November 12 - November 14, 2026?40-64−13565-89+182<40+2339Closes in 23h 12m+26 today
Geopolitics$52.7MUS announces end of Iranian blockade by...?March 31−141December 31+319December 15+700Closes Apr 2027−4 today
Geopolitics$3.8MNext Prime Minister of Spain?Alberto Núñez Feijóo−641Pedro Sánchez+781Santiago Abascal+4551Closes in 16d 11h+3 today
Geopolitics$100.2MVenezuela leader end of 2026?Nicolás Maduro−1043Delcy Rodríguez+1233Closes in 48d 11hCombo
Geopolitics$91.8MPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?Gadi Eizenkot−171Benjamin Netanyahu+394Avigdor Lieberman+2253ClosingCombo
Geopolitics$131KHoward Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by...?December 31−178November 30+120November 13+1150Closes in 48d 11h+36 today
Geopolitics$382KMarco Rubio out as Secretary of State by...?March 31, 2027+292December 31, 2026+1233November 30, 2026+3348Closes Apr 2027+5 today
Politics$2.6MWho will leave Trump Administration before 2027?Howard Lutnick+108Kristi Noem+435Pete Hegseth+506Closes in 48d 11h+21 today
Geopolitics$785K2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?Jean-Luc Mélenchon−2098Marine Le Pen−1233Nathalie Arthaud−1011Closes Apr 2027−1 today
Geopolitics$17.8MStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes +1718No −1718Closes in 48d 11h−1 todayCombo
Geopolitics$134KElon Musk # tweets November 13 - November 20, 2026?220-239+590200-219+700240-259+700Closes in 6d 23h+2 today
Tech$90KWill Jensen Huang be arrested by December 31, 2026?Yes +2147No −2147Closes in 48d 11h−3 today
Geopolitics$457KLjubljana Mayoral Election WinnerZoran Janković−251Luka Mesec+257Closes in 2d 11h−2 today
Geopolitics$29.8MIran leadership change by...?June 30, 2027+388December 31+1438November 30+4344Closes Jul 2027+3 today
Geopolitics$2.9MNext leader out of power before 2027?None before 2027+104Netanyahu - Israel PM+160Sánchez - Spanish PM+2603Closes in 48d 11h+2 today
Geopolitics$4.5MNext Prime Minister of Serbia?Dejan Šoškić+149Ivanka Popović+468Radomir Saičić+817Closing−3 today
Geopolitics$12.1MNext Prime Minister of SwedenUlf Kristersson−109Magdalena Andersson+122Closing−4 today
Crypto$2.9MPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes +545No −545Closes in 48d 11h−2 today
Geopolitics$32.5MPutin out as President of Russia by...?June 30, 2027+1076March 31, 2027+1438Closes Jul 2027