World· 14 outcomes

Iran leadership change by...?

$26.4M tradedCloses Jul 2027 · 1 Jul

23%chance for June 30, 2027no change today

75%50%

23%−3 this period

26% to 23%

22 SEPTNOW

OUTCOME · TAP TO PICK

CHANCE · $10 WINS

June 30, 202723%$44.44 December 31+1 today12%$86.96 November 306%$181.82 October 312%$408.16 September 30<1%–July 310%–August 310%–August 150%–August 220%–March 130%–

Show all 14 outcomes

March 310%–April 30−1 today0%–May 31−1 today0%–June 300%–

All calls

No calls yetMake the first call on this market and it goes on your record at 23%.

How it settles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of w… Read all

hen the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Closes 1 JulYour record updates as soon as it settles.

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