Economy· 13 outcomes

Fed rate cut by...?

$3.7M tradedCloses May 2027 · 8 May

39%chance for April 2027 Meetingno change today

75%50%25%

39%−4 this period

44% to 39%

22 SEPTNOW

OUTCOME · TAP TO PICK

CHANCE · $10 WINS

July 2027 Meeting+13 today58%$17.24 June 2027 Meeting−6 today41%$24.69 April 2027 Meeting39%$25.64 March 2027 Meeting+5 today23%$43.48 January 2027 Meeting0 today7%$142.86 December 2026 Meeting2%$454.55 October 2026 Meeting<1%$1,176.47 January Meeting−1 today0%–March Meeting0%–April Meeting0%–

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June Meeting−1 today0%–July Meeting0%–September 2026 Meeting0%–

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No calls yetMake the first call on this market and it goes on your record at 39%.

How it settles

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for April 2027, currently scheduled for April 27 to 28. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no April meeting takes place by May 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.… Read all

federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Closes 8 MayYour record updates as soon as it settles.

Fed rate cut by...?

OUTCOME · TAP TO PICK

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How it settles

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