Geopolitics$1.3B
Politics3 outcomesFetterman leaves the Democrats by...?
$81K tradedCloses in 48d 7h, 1 Jan
4%chance for December 31, 2026no change today
75%50%25%4%0 this period4% to 4%
6 NOVNOW
OUTCOME: TAP TO PICK
CHANCEAll calls
No calls yetBe the first. Your call goes on your record at 4%.
How it settles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman officially announces that he is leaving, or formally leaves, the Democratic Party by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Announcements from Fetterman that he will join the Republican Party, become an independent, join another political party, or otherwise cease to be a member of the Democratic Party will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting that Fetterman has formally left the Democratic Party will also suffice.
Statements criticizing the Democratic Party, voting with Republicans, endorsing R… Read all
epublican candidates, describing himself as bipartisan or independent-minded, or expressing disagreement with Democratic Party positions will not qualify unless accompanied by an official announcement that he is leaving the Democratic Party or a consensus of credible reporting that he has formally left the Democratic Party. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Closes 1 JanYour record updates as soon as it settles.
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