$6K in at 87%, now 98%, +12.7%Back No−5961Fade+5961
CryptoSBF released from custody in 2026?
$469K tradedCloses in 48d 8h, 1 Jan
This one is all but decided (one side is at 98% or more), so it's waiting for the official result. You can still call a side that isn't too close to settled.
2%chance of Yesno change today
75%50%25%2%0 this period2% to 2%
6 NOVNOW
All calls
How it settles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Bankman-Fried is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Sam Bankman-Fried is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Sam Bankman-Fried is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Sam Bankman-Fried to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market t… Read all
o "Yes". Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Closes 1 JanYour record updates as soon as it settles.
