$7K in at 89%, now 98%, +9.9%Back No−4155Fade+4155
Politics29 outcomesWho will Trump pardon before 2027?
$644K tradedCloses in 48d 7h, 1 Jan
2%chance for Sam Bankman-Friedno change today
75%50%25%2%0 this period2% to 2%
6 NOVNOW
OUTCOME: TAP TO PICK
CHANCEAll calls
$1K in at 95%, now 98%, +2.8%Back No−4155Fade+4155
How it settles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
