Geopolitics$53.6M
Geopolitics7 outcomesFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?
$3.2M tradedCloses in 17d 7h, 1 Dec
This one is all but decided (one side is at 98% or more), so it's waiting for the official result. You can still call a side that isn't too close to settled.
<1%chance for November 30, 2026no change today
75%50%25%<1%0 this period1% to <1%
6 NOVNOW1 DEC
OUTCOME: TAP TO PICK
CHANCEAll calls
No calls yetBe the first. Your call goes on your record at <1%.
How it settles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Closes 1 DecYour record updates as soon as it settles.
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